Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $64K on this market since Oct 6, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$7.1K and 0 lost $0: +$7.1K between them. Biggest win: Inferior-Plough-Acrylic, +$2.5K on Yes.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Informal-Enigma
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $23K — +$2.3K
Inferior-Plough-Acrylic
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $18K — +$2.5K
Lean-Pantyhose
16 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 91¢ $5.4K — +$554
Wiggly-Alliance
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 92¢ $5.0K — +$440
Trusting-Meaning
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 92¢ $5.0K — +$435
Luxurious-Thief
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $2.8K — +$385
Empty-Ball
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $1.8K — +$180
Each-Summary
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 90¢ $1.8K — +$200
Married-Essay
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 92¢ $1.4K — +$120

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $64K
    100% of whale buying · 9 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793775663).

About this data · run 1793775663, computed 2026-11-04 07:01 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793775663 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed