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0x160df84695ed42f620a1b2fa4cb69a5f69986f25

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Appropriate-Banner: +$5.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.6K
return +31.4%
Settled bets
8
$18K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
+$733
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$5.3K
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$465
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? $1.2K
Oct 13 BUY LGD Gaming @ 52¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $2.2K
Oct 13 BUY LGD Gaming @ 51¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $2.6K
Sep 23 BUY Washington Nationals @ 37¢
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers $3.5K
Sep 17 BUY Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? $3.0K
Sep 15 BUY Toronto Blue Jays @ 35¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays $1.6K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 20¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? $1.0K
Aug 26 BUY Over @ 63¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5 $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed