Far-Off-Skean
0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1
Far-Off-Skean: −$9.9K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.9K
return −71.5%
Settled bets
6
$14K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$8.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 37¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 25¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $6.1K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Yes
@ 23¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $2.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $1.1K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Under
@ 49¢
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%? |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%? | $1.1K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Over
@ 66¢
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | $1.5K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.