Kosher-Fountain

0x4e3de51057ed8c345ff6f5af6534c385927b8554

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kosher-Fountain: −$7.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$7.8K
return −28.1%
Settled bets
7
$28K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$5.3K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$883
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026? $1.6K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 56¢
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026? $1.8K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 59¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? $1.8K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 44¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.4K
Sep 9 SELL Yes @ 99.5¢
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? $3.0K
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 84¢
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? $10K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? $1.1K
Sep 4 SELL No @ 70¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed