Scary-Cardboard
0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60
Scary-Cardboard: −$1.9K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.9K
return −32.3%
Settled bets
3
$5.8K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$57
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? |
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | $1.0K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Speed
@ 98¢
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Roblox Trivia? |
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Roblox Trivia? | $2.8K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.