Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $54K into this market since Aug 20, 79% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xeb40…174b
no settled record
Yes @ 27¢ $13K —
0x4a8c…6d47
no settled record
Yes @ 24¢ $11K —
Intentional-Star
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 25¢ $7.8K —
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
No @ 75¢ $6.1K —
0xa617…1ad8
no settled record
Yes @ 25¢ $2.9K —
0x0b71…27ec
no settled record
Yes @ 28¢ $2.6K —
0x34ab…840e
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.2K
Tense-Precedent
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
Remarkable-Underpass
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K
0xba68…ab07
no settled record
No @ 76¢ $1.5K —
Harsh-Macro
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $1.4K —
Advanced-Mailer
17 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 76¢ $1.2K —
0x75d1…7a5f
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.1K
Queasy-Bob
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 26¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $38K
    79% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $3.7K sold
  2. No
    $10K
    21% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed