Intentional-Star
0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3
Intentional-Star: −$3.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −15.5%
Settled bets
7
$23K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $2.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $7.1K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Yes
@ 90¢
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? |
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | $1.8K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $12K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 25¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | $7.8K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Yes
@ 74¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $6.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $7.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 88¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | $7.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.