Worse-Scenario

0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f

No settled bets on record yet: none of this wallet's $1,000+ bets since Aug 20 have resolved. Its record appears after the next daily update once they do.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL No @ 95¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?
US military draft authorized in 2026? $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 81¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 95¢
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? $1.8K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 89¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $2.1K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 96¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Iran Nuke before 2027? $2.5K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 95¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? $2.5K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 95¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? $2.7K
Oct 5 SELL No @ 89¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Cuban regime falls in 2026? $3.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed