Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $50K on this market since Aug 21, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Flashy-Label
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 91¢ $20K —
0x69c5…1e01
no settled record
sold only $0 $14K
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 94¢ $6.8K —
Paltry-Exhibit
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K
Villainous-Following
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $1.0K $1.0K
Advanced-Mailer
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 91¢ $1.8K —
Odd-Deformation
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K
0x3537…1775
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.1K
0x5a0d…fa97
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $29K
    100% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $3.7K sold
  2. Yes
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $17K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed