Ripe-Cake
0xeec50edede5d961efb02e20bfd3275dd1e7fb6fe
Ripe-Cake: −$123 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$123
return −11.9%
Settled bets
3
$1.0K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$105
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$41
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$23
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL Yes
@ 97¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $1.8K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | $1.3K |
| Sep 3 | SELL Yes
@ 93¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | $1.4K |
| Aug 27 | SELL No
@ 83¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.