Polymarket market · Other

San Diego State vs. Toledo

Resolved: Toledo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $184K into this market since Sep 26, 74% of their buying on Toledo. Toledo won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$108K and 2 lost −$48K: +$60K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Esteemed-Cloves
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Toledo @ 56¢ $130K — +$102K
Unwieldy-Collagen
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego State @ 45¢ $38K — −$38K
Adorable-Base-Investigator
5 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego State @ 52¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Toledo @ 55¢ $5.6K — +$4.6K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Toledo @ 56¢ $1.0K — +$799

Where the whale money went

  1. Toledo won
    $137K
    74% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. San Diego State lost
    $28K
    15% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. San Diego State lost
    $20K
    11% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed