Murky-Rhetoric
0x93521335308a270795daa9f073b5406938b12227
Murky-Rhetoric: +$481 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$481
return +3.9%
Settled bets
12
$12K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$383
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$257
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 68¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | $1.2K |
| Sep 28 | SELL No
@ 34¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | $1.0K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Yes
@ 87¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $3.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 91¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $1.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.