Silent-Obsidian
0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4
Silent-Obsidian: +$239 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$239
return +14.1%
Settled bets
2
$1.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$239
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Trump out as President before 2027? |
Trump out as President before 2027? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 93¢
Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
Yoon out of custody before 2027? | $2.2K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Yes
@ 95¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $1.5K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 83¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.