Wiry-Voter
0x3dcea221f0cfe43fb050155839ca9a266a952e3d
Wiry-Voter: −$19K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$19K
return −40.9%
Settled bets
12
$47K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$17K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$735
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 91¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL No
@ 92¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $7.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 64¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 82¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $4.7K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 81¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 82¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | $1.8K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 95¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | $3.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.