Serene-Decision
0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b
Serene-Decision: +$3.5K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 70%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.5K
return +3.4%
Settled bets
9
$104K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 70%–100%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$162
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$199
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | $11K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | $6.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 18¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $42K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 17¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $19K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 19¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | $3.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.