Old-Peek

0x12f93b2a5cd5d370e2e2772246c3c7ceed7774ba

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Old-Peek: +$7.3K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 34%–74%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$7.3K
return +94.5%
Settled bets
20
$7.8K staked
Won
55.0%
95% range 34%–74%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$66
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$6.5K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$847
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Over @ 97¢
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 $1.4K
Sep 26 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5 $1.2K
Sep 25 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?
Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? $1.7K
Sep 24 SELL No @ 75¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? $1.1K
Sep 19 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5
Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5 $1.5K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 91¢
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.0K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 77¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC end in a draw? $1.0K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 79¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed