Polymarket market · Other
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
39 whales put $628K into this market since Sep 29, 99% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 34 whales whose whole position we captured, 31 made +$35K and 3 lost −$5.0K: +$30K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 39| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $96K | — | +$7.3K |
| Bare-Creek-Console
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $50K | $22K | — |
| Passionate-Minorleague
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $70K | — | +$6.1K |
| Splendid-Armour-Knee
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $59K | — | +$4.4K |
| Educated-Shoat
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $50K | — | +$3.7K |
| Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $47K | — | +$4.3K |
| International-Deal
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $32K | — | +$524 |
| Frozen-Birdwatcher
79 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 99.1¢ | $27K | — | +$242 |
| Hefty-Metabolite
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $24K | — | +$2.1K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 96¢ | $22K | — | +$911 |
| Unlined-Observation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $13K | — | +$225 |
| Automatic-Hardcover
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 97¢ | $13K | — | +$462 |
| True-Counsel
26 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12K | — | +$12 |
| Spiteful-Banquette-Seal
49 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 97¢ | $5.0K | $4.8K | −$39 |
| Villainous-Offense
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $9.0K | — | +$779 |
| Arid-Scholar
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $7.1K | — | +$533 |
| Rotating-Snuggle
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $6.5K | — | +$144 |
| Inferior-Freon
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 90¢ | $6.0K | — | +$667 |
| Failing-Enclosure-Writing
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $4.6K | — | +$350 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 93¢ | $4.5K | — | +$336 |
| 0x9134…4fad
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 94¢ | $4.2K | — | +$291 |
| Unfolded-Moose-Proposition
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $3.5K | — | +$266 |
| Blaring-Surge
18 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $3.4K | — | +$80 |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 90¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$586K99% of whale buying · 33 buyers · $33K sold
-
Yes lost$5.0K1% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $4.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 29 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).