Unfolded-Moose-Proposition
0xee3e988afae056f60cf2a889ed4f9b2e62e4f651
Unfolded-Moose-Proposition: +$618 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$618
return +5.7%
Settled bets
10
$11K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$618
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 |
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Alexandre Muller
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Manchester City WFC vs. Arsenal WFC: O/U 0.5 |
Manchester City WFC vs. Arsenal WFC: O/U 0.5 | $2.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 0.5 |
Croatia vs. England: O/U 0.5 | $3.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 95¢
Manchester United WFC vs. Liverpool LFC: O/U 2.5 |
Manchester United WFC vs. Liverpool LFC: O/U 2.5 | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 97¢
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5 |
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5 | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.