Polymarket market · Other
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales put $98K into this market since Sep 30, 63% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$14K and 5 lost −$30K: −$16K between them.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart-Fate
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 64¢ | $5.0K | $9.7K | — |
| Unwieldy-Guestbook-Wildebeest
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 36¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Murky-Survival-Delight
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $10K | — | +$5.2K |
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 82¢ | $8.6K | — | +$1.9K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 28¢ | $7.3K | — | −$7.3K |
| Unacceptable-Barn
93 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $7.0K | — | +$7 |
| Shiny-Appetizer
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $6.6K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 37¢ | $5.3K | — | −$5.3K |
| New-Sickness
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $4.4K | — | +$2.6K |
| Bruised-Dragonfruit
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $4.1K | — | +$216 |
| Well-Off-Mortgage
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 39¢ | $3.9K | — | −$3.9K |
| Noisy-Rating
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $2.5K | — | +$1.5K |
| Corrupt-Barrel
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 79¢ | $2.0K | — | +$532 |
| Fatal-Towtruck
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.9K | — | +$79 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 32¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Forthright-Canal
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 63¢ | $1.6K | — | +$925 |
| Gentle-Mailbox
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $1.3K | — | +$809 |
| Trusty-Sidestream
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 77¢ | $1.1K | — | +$321 |
| Fortunate-Plagiarism
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 80¢ | $1.0K | — | +$250 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$51K63% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $18K sold
-
No lost$30K37% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).