Polymarket market · Other

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $71K into this market since Oct 3, 54% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$7.6K and 5 lost −$41K: −$33K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sudden-Dugout-Disconnection
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 43¢ $13K — −$13K
Yawning-Chicken
216 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 80¢ $10K — −$10K
Flawed-Trance
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 29¢ $9.9K — −$9.9K
Attractive-Pigsty-Leeway
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.3K —
Edible-Gum
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 57¢ $8.0K — +$6.0K
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 77¢ $7.1K — −$7.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $6.2K — +$951
Unacceptable-Barn
87 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 93¢ $4.0K — +$322
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $2.4K — +$323
Heavenly-Apology
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $33K
    54% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. No won
    $21K
    33% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $9.3K sold
  3. Yes lost
    $7.9K
    13% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed