Yearly-Void
Skill vs luck
Yearly-Void on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Yearly-Void: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1dd46abe1feff9501b1a335b67baf0b2bbfda4ad. Data CC BY 4.0.
Yearly-Void: −$1.2K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Nurullo Aliev @ 99¢ | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Andre Fili
@ 99¢
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card) | $3.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?