Acclaimed-Refusal-Squeegee
Skill vs luck
Acclaimed-Refusal-Squeegee on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$999. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Acclaimed-Refusal-Squeegee: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xaf4214d2993eb53ed82fa5ab970c9791a87cba28. Data CC BY 4.0.
Acclaimed-Refusal-Squeegee: −$999 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$999
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Movsar Evloev @ 54¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Grant Dawson @ 99.9¢ | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) ↗ | $1.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?