Splendid-Collectivization

0x6b123a3056bdfa9a6ab33f884e735deeb18ed642

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Splendid-Collectivization: +$6.8K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6.8K
return +21.1%
Settled bets
9
$32K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$420
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.6K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$3.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Jacobe Smith @ 89¢
UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims) $5.2K
Oct 3 BUY Alexander Hernandez @ 73¢
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims) $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY Valesca Machado @ 81¢
UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) $1.2K
Sep 26 BUY Montel Jackson @ 83¢
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) $12K
Sep 20 BUY Robelis Despaigne @ 79¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) $6.3K
Sep 19 BUY Casey ONeill @ 67¢
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) $3.4K
Sep 12 SELL Brandon Moreno @ 75¢
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) $2.2K
Aug 23 BUY Gregory Rodrigues @ 83¢
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed