Soupy-Appropriation

0xd353c5971f18b51941a1d29ffdc2e63ca7fcf6ac

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Soupy-Appropriation: +$909 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$909
return +8.2%
Settled bets
6
$11K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$820
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Marvin Vettori @ 45¢
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) $2.7K
Oct 1 BUY Johnny Walker @ 55¢
UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)
UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) $1.7K
Sep 12 BUY Tommy McMillen @ 61¢
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Rongzhu @ 61¢
Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)
Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims) $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY Tommy McMillen @ 60¢
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Joseph Morales @ 52¢
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) $1.3K
Aug 22 BUY Vitor Petrino @ 59¢
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) $1.2K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed