Polymarket market · Sports

UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

Resolved: Gregory Rodrigues won · See it on Polymarket ↗

27 whales put $133K into this market since Aug 22, 57% of their buying on Anthony Hernandez. Gregory Rodrigues won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$46K and 8 lost −$65K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 27
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
311 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Anthony Hernandez @ 67¢ $31K — −$31K
Nippy-College
1 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 34¢ $14K — +$26K
Standard-Tarragon
115 settled bets Worse than the odds
Gregory Rodrigues @ 51¢ $11K — +$11K
Timely-Federation
5 settled bets Too few bets
Anthony Hernandez @ 67¢ $10K — −$10K
Small-Folder
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Anthony Hernandez @ 67¢ $10K — −$10K
Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Anthony Hernandez @ 67¢ $7.4K — −$7.4K
Taut-Lad
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.2K —
Shabby-Cheque
4 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 77¢ $1.4K $3.7K —
Hilarious-Accusation
1 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 81¢ $5.0K — +$1.2K
Waterlogged-Rifle
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Detailed-Banana
11 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 75¢ $3.3K — +$1.1K
Official-Representative
2 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 76¢ $3.0K — +$971
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Snarling-Appetite-Corruption
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Moral-Goat
1 settled bets Too few bets
Anthony Hernandez @ 65¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Tempting-Television
2 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 86¢ $2.0K — +$325
Negative-Sousaphone
2 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 34¢ $1.5K — +$2.9K
Splendid-Collectivization
9 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 83¢ $1.4K — +$295
Pleased-Heater
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Obedient-Greenhouse
5 settled bets Too few bets
Anthony Hernandez @ 60¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Woeful-Breastplate
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Expert-Statement
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Gregory Rodrigues @ 74¢ $1.3K — +$463
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Gregory Rodrigues @ 33¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Usable-Diction
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Untried-Hutch
1 settled bets Too few bets
Gregory Rodrigues @ 78¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Anthony Hernandez lost
    $62K
    57% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.4K sold
  2. Gregory Rodrigues won
    $45K
    41% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $22K sold
  3. Gregory Rodrigues lost
    $2.4K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed