Polymarket market · Sports

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $95K into this market since Aug 22, 73% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$28K and 2 lost −$63K: −$35K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Foolhardy-Essence
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $61K — −$61K
Foolish-Mango
227 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $9.3K — +$12K
Past-Punishment
271 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.7K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $4.7K — +$5.8K
Warped-Scholar
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $3.4K — +$4.1K
Embarrassed-Bladder
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 45¢ $2.1K — +$2.6K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 48¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 53¢ $1.4K — +$1.2K
Terrible-Garage
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $1.4K — +$951
Misguided-Inhibitor
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 45¢ $1.1K — +$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $63K
    73% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. No won
    $23K
    27% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $8.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed