Shabby-Cheque

0x477fcd39c75956843c18083caa4c8c61f9ca6c45

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Shabby-Cheque: +$1.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +7.1%
Settled bets
4
$19K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.4K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$86
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Bryce Nakashima @ 44¢
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith $1.2K
Sep 5 BUY Mario Pinto @ 98¢
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims) $3.4K
Aug 23 SELL Gregory Rodrigues @ 74¢
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) $3.7K
Aug 23 BUY Gregory Rodrigues @ 77¢
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) $1.4K
Aug 23 BUY Reinier de Ridder @ 80¢
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) $13K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed