Negative-Sousaphone

0xa4ce6bc630da3c0e57ffbc6a0d2540b2f97602b2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Negative-Sousaphone: +$1.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.9K
return +76.5%
Settled bets
2
$2.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.9K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Tai Tuivasa @ 18¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) $1.0K
Aug 23 BUY Gregory Rodrigues @ 34¢
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) $1.5K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed