Black-Latter

0x154ca10dfee317dcfb9337788db7da858cba658e

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-Latter: +$4.4K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$4.4K
return +26.4%
Settled bets
11
$17K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$5.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 68¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 73¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 8 BUY Aurora @ 59¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 4 BUY Rams @ 63¢
Rams vs. Eagles
Rams vs. Eagles $2.5K
Oct 3 BUY Ohio State @ 51¢
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) $2.0K
Oct 2 BUY Team Liquid @ 67¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 27 BUY Jaguars @ 60¢
Patriots vs. Jaguars
Patriots vs. Jaguars $2.0K
Sep 25 BUY Natus Vincere @ 76¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed