Polymarket market · Sports
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $100K on this market since Oct 22, 73% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 73% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$56K and 2 lost −$27K: +$29K between them. Biggest win: Fake-Bitter, +$19K on Over. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$17K on Under.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fake-Bitter
1,343 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 57¢ | $25K | — | +$19K |
| Knowledgeable-Steel
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 56¢ | $20K | — | +$16K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,347 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 45¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Silky-Geometry
257 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 57¢ | $14K | — | +$11K |
| Pristine-Hatred
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 45¢ | $9.3K | — | −$9.3K |
| Edible-Gum
184 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 54¢ | $3.9K | — | +$3.3K |
| New-Sickness
197 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 56¢ | $3.9K | — | +$3.1K |
| Fluffy-Problem
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 57¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.5K |
| Other-Laboratory
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 56¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.6K |
| Smug-Variability
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 57¢ | $1.1K | — | +$860 |
| Self-Assured-Doctrine
22 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Over won$72K73% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.1K sold
-
Under lost$27K27% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | $433K | 13 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22? | $59K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-22? | $85K | 4 | Won: No | |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | $159K | 21 | Won: Yes | |
| Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov | $61K | 7 | Won: Gabriel Debru | |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22? | $52K | 14 | Won: No | |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? | $58K | 8 | Won: No | |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? | $153K | 18 | Won: No |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?