Neighboring-Press-Bathroom
Skill vs luck
Neighboring-Press-Bathroom on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 17% (95% range 3%–56%) · profit −$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Neighboring-Press-Bathroom: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x40f8434b12fa5a751748c97c87aaad28735c2343. Data CC BY 4.0.
Neighboring-Press-Bathroom: −$1.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | SELL OG
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $3.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY OG
@ 66¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $2.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes @ 78¢ | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Adrian Mannarino
@ 99.9¢
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic |
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic | $1.0K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 |
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs ↗ | $4.6K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?