Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Trump renames AI by September 30?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $62K into this market since Sep 22, 58% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$4.8K and 8 lost −$22K: −$17K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Tragic-Chin-Clone
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.89¢ $24K — +$26
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 70¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Awesome-Availability
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 82¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Delightful-Curve
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.2K —
Simple-Tradition
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.6¢ $3.0K — +$12
Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 38¢ $2.9K — +$4.7K
0x56e7…7c0b
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 72¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Fearless-Aggression
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Giant-Bolero
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 65¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Our-Physiology
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Watchful-Bassoon
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 74¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Trivial-Chronicle-Bonsai
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 82¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Advanced-Mailer
16 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 83¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Key-Finding
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Reckless-Vitamin
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 61¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $30K
    58% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $3.4K sold
  2. No lost
    $21K
    40% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $7.0K sold
  3. No lost
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Sep 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed