Tragic-Chin-Clone
0x608532073e9727f4b442204ebf6fc6de3b5c4219
Tragic-Chin-Clone: +$1.3K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.3K
return +2.4%
Settled bets
8
$52K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7? |
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7? | $4.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? |
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | $12K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | $11K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026? |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026? | $3.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? |
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | $14K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | $35K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? |
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | $3.5K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 99.89¢
Trump renames AI by September 30? |
Trump renames AI by September 30? | $24K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.