Trivial-Chronicle-Bonsai
0xc52237ec12433babaac108279b446c8e55d9c93d
Trivial-Chronicle-Bonsai: −$1.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.2K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.2K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 82¢
Trump renames AI by September 30? |
Trump renames AI by September 30? | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 84¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 69¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.