Giant-Bolero

0x2e5a2fdbfda425caa408f8f225b13bf3bca30122

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Giant-Bolero: −$2.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.2K
return −100.1%
Settled bets
3
$2.2K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 33¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $1.1K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? $1.6K
Sep 28 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?
Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw? $1.5K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 74¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Trump renames AI by September 30? $1.0K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 59¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Trump renames AI by September 30? $1.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed