Key-Finding
0xa9f2d6b4a8b0b322ddb2f837c2852c1b47056c8e
Key-Finding: +$7.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$7.9K
return +394.2%
Settled bets
4
$2.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$7.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$564
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $5.0K |
| Sep 29 | SELL Yes
@ 99.8¢
Trump renames AI by September 30? |
Trump renames AI by September 30? | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Aug 31 | SELL No
@ 91¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Yes
@ 96¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | $7.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.