Reckless-Vitamin
0x51ba9580d16b3264930ce28778e701f08aee3ca5
Reckless-Vitamin: −$2.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −31.9%
Settled bets
4
$7.9K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$481
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? |
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 28¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.4K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $3.4K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 61¢
Trump renames AI by September 30? |
Trump renames AI by September 30? | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.