Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales put $77K into this market since Aug 29, 73% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$10K and 5 lost −$12K: −$2.1K between them.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stark-Blackness
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $16K | — |
| Quarterly-Backpack
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $12K | — | +$7.7K |
| Glittering-Pitcher
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.5¢ | $9.5K | — | +$48 |
| Joyful-Singing
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 32¢ | $6.8K | — | −$6.8K |
| 0x4488…e319
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $6.1K | — | +$616 |
| Lonely-Jacket
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 65¢ | $3.4K | $1.0K | +$1.3K |
| Intentional-Star
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $2.7K | $1.6K | +$667 |
| Each-Jeans
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K | — |
| Prize-Intelligence
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Slow-Bake
11 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 36¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Whimsical-Terminal
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Bite-Sized-Roommate
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Stupendous-Harm
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Favorite-Full
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 49¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Well-Groomed-Boxspring
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 35¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Expert-Jack-Fourths
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 35¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$34K73% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $26K sold
-
No lost$10K22% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.3K sold
-
No lost$2.3K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 29 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | $168K | 18 | Won: No | |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | $64K | 11 | Won: No | |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | $53K | 14 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $134K | 17 | Won: No | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $2.16M | 227 | Won: Yes | |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $304K | 22 | Won: Yes | |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | $117K | 30 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $89K | 12 | Won: No |