Polymarket market · Sports

Thunder vs. Rockets

Resolved: Rockets won · See it on Polymarket ↗

28 whales traded $110K on this market since Oct 31, 61% of their buying on Thunder. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Rockets won, with 38% of the whale buying on it. Of the 27 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$17K and 15 lost −$56K: −$40K between them. Biggest win: Infantile-Squid-Periodical, +$4.9K on Rockets. Biggest loss: Functional-Knee-Beck, −$24K on Thunder.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 28
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Functional-Knee-Beck
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 42¢ $24K — −$24K
Thrifty-Dragonfruit
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 57¢ $3.4K $11K —
Infantile-Squid-Periodical
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 57¢ $6.5K — +$4.9K
Considerate-Riverbed
7 settled bets Too few bets
Thunder @ 44¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
White-Hostess-Processor
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 42¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Monstrous-Dew
542 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 39¢ $3.1K $1.6K +$800
Agitated-Bricklaying
600 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 40¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Partial-Fraud
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 86¢ $4.3K — +$700
Fake-Bitter
1,706 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 56¢ $4.2K — −$137
Fuzzy-Yoga
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 56¢ $3.6K — +$2.8K
Foolish-Sea
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 78¢ $3.4K — −$417
Late-Cow-Objection
7 settled bets Too few bets
Thunder @ 45¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Glaring-Salt
2,322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 43¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Overlooked-Wetsuit
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 22¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Tepid-Anticodon
4 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 57¢ $2.0K — +$1.5K
Regular-Gallon
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 78¢ $1.8K — +$508
Scary-Fannypack
355 settled bets Beat the odds*
Rockets @ 56¢ $1.8K — +$1.4K
Wee-Globe
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 22¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Corny-Doc
7 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 56¢ $1.6K — +$1.3K
Unwieldy-Collagen
150 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 43¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
General-Otter
52 settled bets Worse than the odds
Rockets @ 57¢ $1.5K — +$1.1K
Old-Fashioned-Enigma-Calico
2 settled bets Too few bets
Rockets @ 87¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Sparse-Outset
407 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rockets @ 63¢ $1.5K — +$859
Euphoric-Alteration
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Thunder @ 44¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Trivial-Ravioli
371 settled bets Worse than the odds
Rockets @ 96¢ $1.3K — +$54

Where the whale money went

  1. Thunder lost
    $59K
    61% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $1.6K sold
  2. Rockets won
    $37K
    38% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $11K sold
  3. Rockets lost
    $1.5K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Rockets (-2.5) $149K 10 Won: Rockets
Timberwolves vs. Spurs $181K 20 Won: Spurs
Cavaliers vs. Bucks $105K 13 Won: Cavaliers
Hawks vs. Pelicans $150K 16 Won: Pelicans
76ers vs. Hornets $451K 49 Won: 76ers
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) $212K 7 Won: Cavaliers
Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 $59K 3 Won: Over
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz $242K 36 Won: Trail Blazers
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed