Old-Fashioned-Enigma-Calico
Skill vs luck
Old-Fashioned-Enigma-Calico on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Old-Fashioned-Enigma-Calico: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf104cd381cdc726f6bb94802cdd92ebf080a5407. Data CC BY 4.0.
Old-Fashioned-Enigma-Calico: −$1.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Nets @ 88¢ | Nets vs. Pacers ↗ | $1.5K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Rockets @ 87¢ | Thunder vs. Rockets ↗ | $1.5K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.