Polymarket market · Sports
Heat vs. Hornets
Resolved: Hornets won · See it on Polymarket ↗
57 whales traded $465K on this market since Oct 24, 69% of their buying on Heat. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ less per share, with 83% of the size there to buy. Hornets won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 50 whales whose whole position we captured, 18 made +$50K and 32 lost −$284K: −$233K between them. Biggest win: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, +$9.6K on Hornets. Biggest loss: Homely-Gosling, −$68K on Heat.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 57| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homely-Gosling
27 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 58¢ | $68K | — | −$68K |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 34¢ | $54K | — | −$54K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 56¢ | $45K | — | −$9.8K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
467 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hornets @ 62¢ | $24K | — | +$9.6K |
| Silky-Geometry
273 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 58¢ | $21K | — | −$21K |
| Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 56¢ | $21K | — | −$12K |
| Far-Precipitation
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 57¢ | $19K | — | −$19K |
| Positive-Console
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $16K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,429 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 61¢ | $14K | — | −$7.9K |
| Glass-Treat
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 34¢ | $13K | — | −$11K |
| Essential-Meteor
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $12K | — | +$12 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Heat @ 56¢ | $12K | — | −$8.4K |
| Infantile-Squid-Periodical
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 59¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Dizzy-Coliseum
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hornets @ 64¢ | $8.7K | — | +$4.9K |
| Scary-Fannypack
226 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hornets @ 69¢ | $8.5K | — | +$3.8K |
| Soft-Fountain-Kick
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 57¢ | $7.8K | — | −$7.8K |
| Utter-Enquiry
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Hornets @ 38¢ | $2.1K | $5.6K | +$3.5K |
| Embellished-Lecture
71 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $7.3K | — |
| Intrepid-Lambkin
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hornets @ 90¢ | $6.9K | — | +$772 |
| Creepy-Weekender-Guacamole
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 24¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Parallel-Cyclone
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 61¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Creepy-Thrift
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 58¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Untrue-Vegetation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Hornets @ 38¢ | $4.8K | — | +$7.9K |
| Rusty-Reminder
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 55¢ | $4.7K | — | −$4.7K |
| Hungry-Webmail
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 60¢ | $4.2K | — | −$2.9K |
Where the whale money went
-
Heat lost$295K69% of whale buying · 33 buyers · $3.0K sold
-
Hornets won$112K26% of whale buying · 24 buyers · $33K sold
-
Heat lost$21K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) | $54K | 8 | Won: Hornets | |
| Spread: Bulls (-1.5) | $250K | 11 | Won: Wizards | |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 | $107K | 4 | Open | |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | $103K | 9 | Won: Spurs | |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | $130K | 10 | Won: Spurs | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | $57K | 8 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | $77K | 7 | Open | |
| Predators vs. Penguins | $114K | 4 | Won: Penguins |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?