Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
Resolved: Wizards won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $250K on this market since Oct 24, 79% of their buying on Bulls. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Wizards won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$30K and 4 lost −$19K: +$10K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$16K on Wizards. Biggest loss: Cultured-Construction, −$12K on Bulls.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Ski
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bulls @ 51¢ | $101K | $101K | +$475 |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Wizards @ 49¢ | $15K | — | +$16K |
| Cultured-Construction
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Bulls @ 50¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Wizards @ 49¢ | $6.0K | — | +$6.2K |
| Forthright-Fashion
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Bulls @ 50¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Well-Made-Distinction
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Bulls @ 49¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Creamy-Guest
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wizards @ 49¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.6K |
| Valuable-Animal
138 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bulls @ 51¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wizards @ 49¢ | $1.9K | — | +$2.0K |
| Unkempt-Image
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wizards @ 49¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.6K |
| Key-Capability
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wizards @ 50¢ | $1.0K | — | +$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Bulls lost$117K79% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $101K sold
-
Wizards won$28K19% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
Bulls lost$2.9K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Bulls | $657K | 35 | Won: Wizards | |
| Heat vs. Hornets | $465K | 57 | Won: Hornets | |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | $103K | 9 | Won: Spurs | |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 | $107K | 4 | Open | |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | $130K | 10 | Won: Spurs | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | $57K | 8 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | $77K | 7 | Open | |
| Predators vs. Penguins | $114K | 4 | Won: Penguins |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?