Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

Resolved: Atlanta Braves won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $73K into this market since Sep 23, 64% of their buying on Atlanta Braves. Atlanta Braves won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$16K and 4 lost −$19K: −$3.6K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cincinnati Reds @ 50¢ $13K — −$10K
Dependable-Waterfront
389 settled bets Beat the odds*
Atlanta Braves @ 82¢ $13K — +$2.8K
Warped-Specialist
3 settled bets Too few bets
Atlanta Braves @ 60¢ $4.0K $4.3K +$345
Plaintive-Abundance
6 settled bets Too few bets
Atlanta Braves @ 72¢ $8.2K — +$3.2K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 45¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Royal-Gland
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Atlanta Braves @ 57¢ $4.9K — +$3.7K
Vigilant-Forever
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Wordy-Littleneck
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Atlanta Braves @ 59¢ $3.8K — +$2.6K
Substantial-Timber
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 43¢ $1.8K $1.9K —
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 17¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 61¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Atlanta Braves @ 51¢ $2.0K — +$1.9K
Dangerous-Treasure
4 settled bets Too few bets
Atlanta Braves @ 81¢ $1.5K — +$350
Standard-Tarragon
120 settled bets Worse than the odds
Atlanta Braves @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Atlanta Braves won
    $40K
    64% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Cincinnati Reds lost
    $20K
    33% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Cincinnati Reds lost
    $2.1K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed