Warped-Specialist

0xca1f5a4c3402ff831df075b1f6fd83c99aa9202a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Warped-Specialist: −$3.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.0K
return −40.9%
Settled bets
3
$7.4K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 SELL Atlanta Braves @ 65¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves $4.3K
Sep 24 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 60¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves $4.0K
Sep 24 BUY Chicago Cubs @ 64¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs $2.2K
Sep 6 BUY Alexandra Eala @ 69¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala $1.1K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed