Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
0xf8fdc4067784d70f7828149d009a519b6bd5876f
Profit
−$47K
return −10.1%
Settled bets
86
$465K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 40%–60%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 86 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$15K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$62K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Bought Under
at 54¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 61.5 |
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 61.5 | $6.8K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Saints
at 83¢
Raiders vs. Saints |
Raiders vs. Saints | $16K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Rams
at 47¢
Spread: Rams (-2.5) |
Spread: Rams (-2.5) | $23K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Raiders
at 39¢
Raiders vs. Saints |
Raiders vs. Saints | $17K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Lions
at 43¢
Spread: Lions (-7.5) |
Spread: Lions (-7.5) | $7.7K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Chargers
at 36¢
Spread: Bills (-3.5) |
Spread: Bills (-3.5) | $8.1K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Raoni Barcelos
at 80¢
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Missouri
at 68¢
Missouri vs. Mississippi State |
Missouri vs. Mississippi State | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.