Dangerous-Treasure

0xbd9a44b4fa5038150095935a68c26c7099ec63e7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dangerous-Treasure: +$1.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +20.3%
Settled bets
4
$4.9K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 25 BUY Houston Astros @ 89¢
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Houston Astros vs. Athletics $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY Texas Rangers @ 76¢
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers $1.1K
Sep 24 BUY Athletics @ 88¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics $1.1K
Sep 24 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 81¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves $1.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed