Polymarket market · Sports

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Resolved: Miami Marlins won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $74K into this market since Sep 23, 81% of their buying on Chicago Cubs. Miami Marlins won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$18K and 10 lost −$51K: −$33K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Chicago Cubs @ 56¢ $20K — −$20K
Barren-Hospital-Pilgrim
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 40¢ $12K — +$18K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 63¢ $10K — −$10K
0x16bb…8492
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 62¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 63¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
Sick-Backyard
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.6K —
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 36¢ $1.9K $1.7K −$240
Warped-Specialist
3 settled bets Too few bets
Chicago Cubs @ 64¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 66¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Timely-Airforce
2 settled bets Too few bets
Chicago Cubs @ 63¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Exhausted-Frosting
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 63¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Infantile-Ladybug
5 settled bets Too few bets
Chicago Cubs @ 66¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Black-Encirclement
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Chicago Cubs lost
    $53K
    81% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.0K sold
  2. Miami Marlins won
    $12K
    19% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $5.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed