Polymarket market · Sports

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Resolved: Baltimore Orioles won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $62K into this market since Sep 23, 91% of their buying on Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore Orioles won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$26K and 1 lost −$4.7K: +$21K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 53¢ $18K — +$16K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 94¢ $8.7K — +$555
Massive-Registry
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 94¢ $6.2K — +$396
0x16bb…8492
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 54¢ $5.3K — +$4.5K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 53¢ $5.2K — +$4.6K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Toronto Blue Jays @ 41¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Rubbery-Fingerling
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 77¢ $2.6K $1.2K —
Baggy-Illustration
167 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 92¢ $2.2K — +$200
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 93¢ $2.0K — +$151
Big-Hearted-Priority
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Bruised-Downfall
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Baltimore Orioles won
    $50K
    91% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $5.1K sold
  2. Toronto Blue Jays lost
    $4.7K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed