Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

Resolved: GIANTX won · See it on Polymarket ↗

36 whales put $125K into this market since Sep 11, 60% of their buying on Natus Vincere. GIANTX won. Of the 30 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$17K and 23 lost −$72K: −$55K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 36
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Scary-Pearl
251 settled bets Can't tell from luck
GIANTX @ 99¢ $20K — +$250
Dearest-Urge
303 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 64¢ $13K — −$13K
Mealy-Collaboration
248 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 52¢ $13K — −$13K
Judicious-Isolation
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 53¢ $7.7K — −$7.7K
Misty-Request
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 53¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Rosy-Trinket
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
GIANTX @ 50¢ $4.9K — +$4.9K
Thorny-Ritual
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 52¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Questionable-Copper-Rugby
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 58¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Well-To-Do-Greatgrandmother
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Unlawful-Rubbish-Gator
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.5K —
Able-Disagreement
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
GIANTX @ 48¢ $3.4K — +$3.6K
Agonizing-Edible-Visual
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
GIANTX @ 48¢ $2.9K — +$3.1K
Fat-Septicaemia
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 53¢ $1.4K $1.4K −$38
Metallic-Plaintiff
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 53¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Vain-Medicine
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
GIANTX @ 49¢ $2.3K — +$2.4K
Forked-Settler
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 73¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Lively-Jumbo
10 settled bets Too few bets
GIANTX @ 47¢ $2.0K — +$2.2K
Blue-Refuse
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 53¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Deafening-Component
18 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Feisty-Mango-Blind
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Extra-Large-Union
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Sophisticated-Handicap
18 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 73¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Total-Cover-Author
188 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 52¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Gloomy-Ozone-Deer
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 73¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Staid-Workshop-Noir
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 73¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere lost
    $66K
    60% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $2.6K sold
  2. GIANTX won
    $37K
    33% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $12K sold
  3. Natus Vincere lost
    $7.7K
    7% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $180K 45 Won: Natus Vincere
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner $54K 13 Won: Natus Vincere
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $84K 14 Won: Natus Vincere
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner $52K 13 Won: KT Rolster Challengers
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner $79K 12 Won: DN SOOPers Challengers
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner $360K 62 Won: Hanwha Life Esports
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $551K 76 Won: Hanwha Life Esports
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $530K 55 Won: Hanwha Life Esports
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed