Unlawful-Rubbish-Gator

0x71bf058ed10d26ec55b19cc4f539b869ac72f6ed

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unlawful-Rubbish-Gator: −$5.4K on 28 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 10%–40%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$5.4K
return −28.2%
Settled bets
28
$19K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 10%–40%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$4.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL Lidia Encheva @ 99.9¢
W50 Burgas: Marie Vogt vs Lidia Encheva
W50 Burgas: Marie Vogt vs Lidia Encheva $1.6K
Oct 7 BUY FlyQuest @ 63¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.0K
Oct 7 SELL FlyQuest @ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner $3.5K
Oct 7 SELL FlyQuest @ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Sep 13 BUY Under @ 60¢
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners $1.0K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 59¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner $1.5K
Sep 13 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 49¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 60¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed